Lies, damn lies and statistics.
A crime doesn't affect ordinary people if it's fraud says Kwazi
Politicians rarely use numbers to enlighten us. As Mark Twain wrote in the North American Review at the outset of the 20th century: “There are lies, damn lies, and statistics”.
When the Prime Minister tells the House of Commons that “Crime has fallen by 14%” and you discover that crime has actually risen by 14%, you can do one of two things. Roll your eyes and move on. Or you can dig a little deeper.
Fraud is the biggest crime in the UK and it’s soaring
These are the facts: crime can only be said to have fallen if you exclude fraud which costs the country at least £190 billion a year - and that’s only the frauds we know about.
In fact fraud, far from being an outlier, is according to the National Crime Agency, now the most commonly experienced crime in the UK. And it is soaring exponentially as every aspect of our life is digitised.
Financial fraud against UK bank customers increased by two-thirds in the first half of 2020. HMRC reported a 74% increase in fraudulent emails in the same period.
The Treasury has written off a staggering £4.3 billion stolen by fraudsters from the emergency Covid-19 schemes. These are eye-watering sums that far exceed the proceeds of street crime.
Boris Johnson might have said: “Violent crime has fallen by 14%”; or “all crime with the exception of fraud has fallen by 14%”. But he didn’t. He said that crime, no qualification, no ifs or buts, had fallen by 14%. He knew what he was doing. He was rebuked for playing fast and loose with numbers, not for the first time, by the impartial UK’s statistics watchdog.
What makes this particular iteration of the old adage eye-opening is the defence subsequently mounted on television by Kwazi Kwarteng, the Business Secretary.
When challenged on the BBC, Kwarteng justified Johnson’s lie by saying that he had only been referring to crime which “people experience in their day-to-day lives”. Press pause and rewind. Run that past me again minister.
Kwarteng is brainy enough to know the difference between a kosher statistic and a lie: Eton Scholar; Cambridge double-first; Harvard, PhD in Economics, an analyst at JPMorgan Chase. This can’t have been a comfortable moment.
Even for a loyalist prepared to die in a ditch for his leader this is a statement of shining insensitivity. Not least towards the business community, a major target of fraud.
Fraud is a hugely damaging crime. It threatens all of us, without exception. It acts as a huge drain on resources, private and public. It slows economic growth. And it contributes to erosion of trust across our communities. Fraud, like lying, is toxic.
Fraud can bankrupt a corporation leaving a trail of social and community devastation in its wake. It can rip the heart out of a pension fund leaving pensioners on the poverty line. Scammers and phone fraudster who swindle the elderly of their life’s savings can be life-wreckers.
The impact of a phone swindle on victims may be more immediate than a corporate fraud that destroys a company leaving its shareholders, customers and suppliers struggling is the same. But the end result is the same. Fraud destroys.
Age UK estimates that up to five million older people over 65 are targeted each year. The average individual loss, according to the charity, runs into thousands.
People defrauded at home are 2.5 times more likely to die or go into care
In fact according to Centre for Counter Fraud Studies at Portsmouth University people aged 65 to 74 are 54 times more likely to be the victim of fraud than they are of being physically attacked.
The most vulnerable are single people aged 75 and over. The charity found – and this is a number Kwarteng might like to reflect on – that people defrauded in their homes are 2.5 times more likely to die or go into care within a year.
Scam victims told Which? magazine that being swindled had destroyed their confidence and their ability to trust other people.
Elderly people who are cheated often experience shame. Some retreat behind their front door rather than report the fraud contributing to what Professor Mark Button, director of the Fraud Studies Centre calls the “loneliness epidemic”.
Action Fraud data registers thousands of calls a year from victims who subsequently suffer severe emotional distress. Between January and November 2020 Action Fraud received 241 where a ‘threat to life’ (suicide) was flagged.
Victims of fraud can feel just as violated as those who suffer burglary. What is an assault on your computer or a phone scam that robs you of your life’s savings, but a form of burglary?
But Kwarteng does have half a point. Fraudsters don’t yet quite cut it as bad guys in the eyes of the public. Society’s attitude to crime tends to be, like so much else, class driven.
A burglar is someone who comes from the wrong side of the track and makes bad choices that lead to a life of crime. The same is often said of a benefits fraudster. These are individuals who are portrayed by some as inherently anti-social and predisposed to crime.
White-collar criminals, on the other hand, are ‘bad apples’ who occasionally stray from the straight and narrow. The accountant who cooks the books or a boss who raids his company’s pension fund or a university-educated conman who sells the state duff PPE equipment belong in a higher circle of hell than, say, the Kray twins.
Nailing fraud is complex, difficult and expensive. It’s slim pickings. Fraud trials cost the taxpayer millions. The authorities take fraud seriously. The Treasury employs a 1,265-strong anti-fraud taskforce. And yet the UK failed to bring a single successful corporate prosecution after the 2008 financial crash that caused a worldwide economic crisis.
It’s time to stop thinking of fraud as a lesser crime. We need to rethink what fraud as well as its close relative corruption look like, both in business and politics. Deep pockets are too often a get-out-jail card.